No-Win in Afghanistan

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Marc Lynch is unimpressed with conservative sniping that Barack Obama is “dithering” over Afghanistan:

The overwhelming odds are that if the escalation option is chosen, in a year or two we will be confronting the exact same questions. More troops will once again be needed, a new strategy will once again be demanded, we’ll still be reading about how the Taliban is out-communicating us and about how the corruption of the Karzai government poses a serious challenge. And then the exact same debate will recur… the Kagans will demand more troops, dark mutterings about tensions between the administration and the generals will roil the waters, the Washington Post editorial page will publish debates where everyone is on the same side, the smart think-tankers will agonize over the tough choices but ultimately come down on the side of escalation.  Might as well have this debate now, and get it right.

That’s admirably cynical.  Welcome to the dark side, Marc!

But he’s got good reason: the aims of the all-in counterinsurgency supporters are flatly unrealistic.  “If the goal is the creation of a functioning, effective, legitimate Afghan state,” he says, “then I would say the prospects are close to zero. Not with 40,000 troops, not with 400,000 troops, not in twelve months and not in twelve years.”

Probably true.  And it’s why I’m glad I’m not president right now.  If Obama doesn’t approve all the new troops the Pentagon wants, then he’s caving in to the terrorists.  If he does approve them, he’s hitching himself to a policy that’s almost certain to drag us ever further into a quagmire without ever producing results.  If that’s not a no-win situation, I don’t know what is.

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SIX TRUTHS

Reclaiming power from those who abuse it often starts with telling the truth. And in "This Is How Authoritarians Get Defeated," MoJo's Monika Bauerlein unpacks six truths to remember during the homestretch of an election where democracy, truth, and decency are on the line.

Truth #1: The chaos is the point.

Truth #2: Team Reality is bigger than it seems.

Truth #3: Facebook owns this.

Truth #4: When we go to work, we're in the fight.

Truth #5: It's about minority rule.

Truth #6: The only thing that can save us is…us.

Please take a moment to see how all these truths add up, because what happens in the weeks and months ahead will reverberate for at least a generation and we better be prepared.

And if you think journalism like Mother Jones'—that calls it like it is, that will never acquiesce to power, that looks where others don't—can help guide us through this historic, high-stakes moment, and you're able to right now, please help us reach our $350,000 goal by October 31 with a donation today. It's all hands on deck for democracy.

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