This isn’t really more predictions, just the same one as yesterday but presented with a little more context. I finally got tired of reading endless headlines about how the Democratic lead in the generic ballot is “shrinking” or “widening” or “eroding” or whatever, so I went off to 538.com to get the answer. Here it is:

There you have it. Ignore the individual polls, which can easily change by several points for no particular reason. You may truthfully say that “the Democratic lead has grown substantially since summer” or “the Democratic lead has shrunk slightly since September.”  Whichever one supports your narrative is OK. But those two choices are about all you have.

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BEFORE YOU CLICK AWAY!

“Lying.” “Disgusting.” “Scum.” “Slime.” “Corrupt.” “Enemy of the people.” Donald Trump has always made clear what he thinks of journalists. And it’s plain now that his administration intends to do everything it can to stop journalists from reporting things they don’t like—which is most things that are true.

No one gets to tell Mother Jones what to publish or not publish, because no one owns our fiercely independent newsroom. But that also means we need to directly raise the resources it takes to keep our journalism alive. There’s only one way for that to happen, and it’s readers like you stepping up. Please help with a donation today if you can—even a few bucks will make a real difference. A monthly gift would be incredible.

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