Coronavirus Growth in Western Countries: April 11 Update

Here’s the coronavirus growth rate through April 11. Germany showed a big decline today in its daily death rate, but they also reported fewer cumulative deaths than yesterday. I suspect a reporting error. Italy hiccuped, but hopefully is still on a downward trend. Spain is declining. Canada, as always, remains teacher’s pet. And the United States has had a couple of days higher than trend. This might be nothing, or it might suggest that our peak will be a little farther away than Tuesday. There’s just no way to know until it happens.


How to read the charts: Let’s use France as an example. For them, Day 0 was March 5, when they surpassed one death per 10 million by recording their sixth death. They are currently at Day 37; total deaths are at 2,309x their initial level; and they have recorded a total of 206.7 deaths per million so far. As the chart shows, this is above where Italy was on their Day 37.

The raw data from Johns Hopkins is here.

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Which is also a pretty great way to describe Mother Jones' mission: People coming together around the truth to hold power accountable.

And right now, we need to raise about $400,000 from our online readers over the next two months to hit our annual goal and make good on that mission. Read more about the information war we find ourselves in and how people-powered, independent reporting can and must rise to the challenge—and please support our team's truth-telling journalism with a donation if you can right now.

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