More Ominous Signs for Dems

Facts matter: Sign up for the free Mother Jones Daily newsletter. Support our nonprofit reporting. Subscribe to our print magazine.


Signs continue to proliferate that 2010 will be a very, very bad election year for Democrats. The latest poll of the Ohio Governor’s race—a contest I have pointed to as a bellwether—has incumbent Democrat Ted Strickland down 10 points to former GOP congressman John Kasich. The poll by Public Policy Polling (Daily Kos’ pollster) has Kasich at 50 percent, with Strickland at 40 and 10 percent undecided. That’s a terrible position for an incumbent to be in on September 1.

Meanwhile, the Dems seem to have already lost Senate races that in any other year should be close-fought contests. Two top Dem recruits—Ohio Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher and Missouri Secretary of State Robin Carnahan—are trailing flawed, Bush-tied opponents Rob Portman (Bush’s budget director) and Roy Blount (a longtime member of the Bush-era House GOP leadership). Neither Fisher nor Carnahan has led in a single poll for months. In New Hampshire, Democratic Rep. Paul Hodes is having similar trouble with GOPer Kelly Ayotte, a former* state attorney general. These are all open-seat races for Republican seats, and the Dems don’t seem likely to flip a single one. That means the Republicans can move their focus elsewhere, to states like Washington, Wisconsin, and California, where Sens. Patty Murray, Russ Feingold, and Barbara Boxer, three important liberal votes, face very tough races.  

Finally, the latest polling on the generic congressional ballot (i.e., would you rather vote for a Republican or Democratic candidate) gives the GOP their biggest lead ever. As SwingState’s James L. writes, “Ted Strickland has run a good campaign, but he can’t make the weather.”

*I corrected this per comments.

THE TRUTH...

is the first thing despots go after. An unwavering commitment to it is probably what draws you to Mother Jones' journalism. And as we're seeing in the US and the world around, authoritarians seek to poison the discourse and the way we relate to each other because they can't stand people coming together around a shared sense of the truth—it's a huge threat to them.

Which is also a pretty great way to describe Mother Jones' mission: People coming together around the truth to hold power accountable.

And right now, we need to raise about $400,000 from our online readers over the next two months to hit our annual goal and make good on that mission. Read more about the information war we find ourselves in and how people-powered, independent reporting can and must rise to the challenge—and please support our team's truth-telling journalism with a donation if you can right now.

payment methods

THE TRUTH...

is the first thing despots go after. An unwavering commitment to it is probably what draws you to Mother Jones' journalism. And as we're seeing in the US and the world around, authoritarians seek to poison the discourse and the way we relate to each other because they can't stand people coming together around a shared sense of the truth—it's a huge threat to them.

Which is also a pretty great way to describe Mother Jones' mission: People coming together around the truth to hold power accountable.

And right now, we need to raise about $400,000 from our online readers over the next two months to hit our annual goal and make good on that mission. Read more about the information war we find ourselves in and how people-powered, independent reporting can and must rise to the challenge—and please support our team's truth-telling journalism with a donation if you can right now.

payment methods

We Recommend

Latest

Sign up for our free newsletter

Subscribe to the Mother Jones Daily to have our top stories delivered directly to your inbox.

Get our award-winning magazine

Save big on a full year of investigations, ideas, and insights.

Subscribe

Support our journalism

Help Mother Jones' reporters dig deep with a tax-deductible donation.

Donate