Mitch McConnell’s “Skinny Repeal” Could Still Mean 15 Million Fewer With Insurance

Even the pared-back last-ditch effort in the Senate would see more uninsured and higher premiums.

Ron Sachs/Zuma

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Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) is readying a vote on a health care bill this afternoon—even though no one is quite sure what bill they’re actually going to be voting on. But according to NBC reporters, McConnell has settled on a new backup plan if his preferred bills fail, known as a “skinny repeal” of the Affordable Care Act. Don’t be fooled by that seemingly benign moniker. While less sweeping than past bills put forward by Republicans, this skinny plan would still cause major problems in the health insurance market.

Since McConnell is rushing this through at the last minute without any public hearings, it’s unclear what exactly would be in the skinny plan, but it would reportedly include a repeal of the Affordable Care Act’s individual and employer mandates and medical device tax.

The Congressional Budget Office has already taken a look at what would happen if the individual mandate is wiped out, and the results aren’t pretty. The CBO expects that by 2026, 15 million more people would lack insurance than under current law. And the people who do still buy insurance through the individual marketplaces would face premiums about 20 percent higher than under current law. (Repealing the employer mandate could change these calculations, although the impact would probably not be as large as with the individual mandate.)

But the CBO does expect that ending the individual mandate could produce savings for the government, primarily from fewer people signing up for Medicaid. 

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SIX TRUTHS

Reclaiming power from those who abuse it often starts with telling the truth. And in "This Is How Authoritarians Get Defeated," MoJo's Monika Bauerlein unpacks six truths to remember during the homestretch of an election where democracy, truth, and decency are on the line.

Truth #1: The chaos is the point.

Truth #2: Team Reality is bigger than it seems.

Truth #3: Facebook owns this.

Truth #4: When we go to work, we're in the fight.

Truth #5: It's about minority rule.

Truth #6: The only thing that can save us is…us.

Please take a moment to see how all these truths add up, because what happens in the weeks and months ahead will reverberate for at least a generation and we better be prepared.

And if you think journalism like Mother Jones'—that calls it like it is, that will never acquiesce to power, that looks where others don't—can help guide us through this historic, high-stakes moment, and you're able to right now, please help us reach our $350,000 goal by October 31 with a donation today. It's all hands on deck for democracy.

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